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Thread: eurusd

  1. #1
    Legendry Member milos's Avatar

    eurusd !!!

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  2. #2
    Rookie Member
    Hi milos,
    I wonder if we can develop our skill on a very short expiry together.
    I have tries 60 seconds expiry, but I don't find the accurate technical analyses yet so that we can reach 80% wins.
    Click image for larger version. 

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    Look at the last pic, it is unpredictable that the price will turn back although the result is still win.
    if there is a way to know it early,........
    Last edited by al41; 08-11-2013 at 05:54 AM.

  3. #3
    Solid Member Murphy13's Avatar
    Hi al41!

    It is very difficult to predict such short term move with probability greater than 65-70% even impossible I could say. The only way to make good predictions on such a scale is to trade against the previous move, if it exceeds specific Bollinger Band value. This system is tested and profitable, the problem is that in strong trending conditions it won’t work. So a good filter must be applied to distinguish well enough ranging from trending conditions. Do you have an idea what kind of filter could we use? ATR or RSI maybe?

  4. #4
    Rookie Member
    Quote Originally Posted by Murphy13 View Post
    Hi al41!

    It is very difficult to predict such short term move with probability greater than 65-70% even impossible I could say. The only way to make good predictions on such a scale is to trade against the previous move, if it exceeds specific Bollinger Band value. This system is tested and profitable, the problem is that in strong trending conditions it won’t work. So a good filter must be applied to distinguish well enough ranging from trending conditions. Do you have an idea what kind of filter could we use? ATR or RSI maybe?
    I think the only filter is the Bollinger Bands itself, no other indicator could replace it.
    We just make a specific definition of it. For instant, if the price goes out sides Bollinger Bands Standard Deviation 1 on specific Period means in strong trending conditions.
    So we just assume that the valid signal is when the price moves inside BB SD1 specific Period. we could see this condition also by seeing the middle band line, this line relatively horizontal (slope < 5 degree).
    Last edited by al41; 08-11-2013 at 10:54 AM.

  5. #5
    Specialist Member marvel's Avatar
    You are right al41. On this time frame BB works best. It only need to set the specific Standard Deviation for the entry and exit rules, but murphy13 is right that we need some filter on a higher time frame confirming that the market condition is appropriate.

  6. #6
    Rookie Member
    Quote Originally Posted by marvel View Post
    You are right al41. On this time frame BB works best. It only need to set the specific Standard Deviation for the entry and exit rules, but murphy13 is right that we need some filter on a higher time frame confirming that the market condition is appropriate.
    I have been searching for a long time, but not finding any suitable filter. if you have one, please recommend here for us.
    Click image for larger version. 

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  7. #7
    Legendry Member milos's Avatar
    It very hard to predict the price movements in 60 seconds. I tested this strategy in time frame 60 second with more than 85% success rate. You can test this strategy during between 5pm-7pm by EST time zone.

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