[NEW FEATURE] Live Signals on CT 2.0 I want to take a look now! Close
Open
Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 20
  1. #1
    Administrator Martin Kay's Avatar

    Tip From the Geek! One week to to one Month Expiries! !!!

    The Geek had a pretty good month trading binary options, what do you think of his new tips??

    Click here for all 7 Trading Tips

    OriginallyPosted by Michael Hodges
    The Euro Will Continue To Stabilizes

    Eur/USD
    Entry = below 1.30000
    Call/Put = Call
    Expiration = End Of The Week

    The Euro will continue to stabilize against the dollar. Global economic pressures are easing, at least in the near term, and will help the Euro to gain support. The efforts of the ECB to help the Eurozone and its firm stance that the Euro is irreversible helped draw investors last week and will do so into the future.

    Apple, Should I Even Try?

    Apple
    Entry = below $640
    Call/Put = Call
    Expiration = End Of The Month

    Well, I’m going to give it one more try. Apple has retreated far more than I expected but has reached long term support zone at $650. Concerns over iPhone 5 issues may continue to create volatility but this level looks like a good starting point for a rally based on the fourth quarter and Christmas Season expectations.

    McDonald’s Getting Fried

    McDonald’s
    Entry = Above $91
    Call/Put = Put
    Expiration = End Of The Month

    McDonald’s earnings have been suffering over the last quarter or so due to inflationary pressures in China, exchange rates and rising food costs. These are not expected to end soon and will affect third and fourth quarter earnings. I am placing a put on the Golden Arches for this month.


    China Downgrade Not Unexpected

    Shang Hai Composite
    Entry = Below 2100
    Call/Put = Call
    Expiration = End Of The Month

    China trading resumes following the country’s long holiday with a major downgrade of Chinese GDP expectations. The good news is that the downgrade is not unexpected and is only catching up with what we already know of the situation. China is likely at a short term bottom, one that will be aided by US market strength.




  2. #2
    Specialist Member TAllen1429's Avatar
    1. The Euro Will Continue To Stabilizes

    I am having problems will this tip. With Spain abstaining from submitting a formal request for international aid yesterday, the ECB’s bond-buying plan is now practically suspended indefinitely until a successful application is filed.

    In the interim, the economy of the Eurozone, which is already in dire straits, has been left totally exposed to the persistently weakening global economy.

    Consequently, I think the EURUSD is prone to bearish weakness until these problems are properly addressed. For example, analysts were advising yesterday that as the Eurozone is confounded by so many drawn-out debt issues, it was not even close to resolving its crisis by any stretch of the imagination. Many years may be needed to unravel this mess.

    2. Apple

    Prominent stock specialists are currently forecasting that the forthcoming corporate earnings season, which commences today, will produce an average profit decline of almost 2.5% compared to the equivalent one 12 months ago.

    If this is correct, then the markets have no reason any longer to rally but, instead, face a correction. Apple could fall under such circumstances.

    3. China

    The World Bank issued a stark warning yesterday advising that the Chinese economic slowdown will be much more emphatic than originally thought.

    This does not bode well for the Chinese Stock Market over the coming months.

  3. #3
    Legendry Member Michael Hodges's Avatar
    Yes, and all of these things have been on the table for quite some time. I'm not saying we're at a bottom or that the economy of the world is turning, I am simply stating that my short term outlook for these issues is to the upside. We are trading short term binary options here, not making long term investments.

    The fourth quarter, while not expected to be great, is expected to better than what we have been seeing. For this reason, along with the slightly more positive US economic data we have seen over the last few weeks, I believe that stocks and the euro will strengthen.

    Let's also remember that stock prices are based on future earnings, not past. This quarters earnings season will provide volatility, but not direction, to the markets. We know that earnings are going to be poor, projections have been ramping down all year. This may provide the basis for some upside surprises as well. The fourth quarter outlook and expectations are what will give the market direction. This month we still have all the hope of a full and robust holiday shopping season ahead of us which should help inflate the markets with hope.

  4. #4
    Specialist Member TAllen1429's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Michael Hodges View Post
    Yes, and all of these things have been on the table for quite some time. I'm not saying we're at a bottom or that the economy of the world is turning, I am simply stating that my short term outlook for these issues is to the upside. We are trading short term binary options here, not making long term investments.

    The fourth quarter, while not expected to be great, is expected to better than what we have been seeing. For this reason, along with the slightly more positive US economic data we have seen over the last few weeks, I believe that stocks and the euro will strengthen.

    Let's also remember that stock prices are based on future earnings, not past. This quarters earnings season will provide volatility, but not direction, to the markets. We know that earnings are going to be poor, projections have been ramping down all year. This may provide the basis for some upside surprises as well. The fourth quarter outlook and expectations are what will give the market direction. This month we still have all the hope of a full and robust holiday shopping season ahead of us which should help inflate the markets with hope.

    Thanks for your clarification, Michael.

    As you said, everything is about timing.

    Just out of interest, do you still think your Euro tip is a going? The EURUSD has dropped by almost 100 pips today so far.

    I think that the pair is vulnerable to headline news which is tending to be bearish at present because of the
    deteriorating state of the global economy.

    I am just not confident that the EURUSD can pick up enough bullish momentum by the end of this week. Probably wrong and always
    interested in different points of view. After all, that is the strength of a forum.

    Regards,

    Terry

  5. #5
    Specialist Member TAllen1429's Avatar
    Perhaps, I should be more specific here.

    I do not expect that the EURUSD, Apple or the Chinese Stock Market will close at the end of the week higher than the
    their entry prices listed in the tips above.

    I always attempt to hone into investor sentiment and not predict directional changes myself.

    I have found that when analysts or bodies, such as the World Bank, etc., release statements of importance, investors
    normally react to them with 24 hours and then tend to use this information as justifications to select a preferred
    trading trend over the long-term.

    This is very evident today.

    The EURUSD has tumbled by almost 120 pips and is now trading near 1.2880 as a result of new events, concerning the European debt crisis, occurring today and the
    lock-up of the ECB bond-buying fund yesterday

    The investors are also concerned about a pending very weak corporate earnings season which is also forcing stocks lower.

    Apple has now lost over 10% of its value in just over a week; is trading below $625 and looks poised to drop lower.
    There have been a number of debates on CNBC today attempting to identify the reasons behind this fall. One point
    that was definitely agreed on was that Apple is already in a correction mode.

    The Chinese Stock Market is still a goer as its current value is still above the ENTRY price of its tip. However, the Asian
    markets will not open for another 7 hours or so and could then experience a significant plunge when they do. This is because
    they do not yet reflect the bearish developments that have occurred during the European and American sessions today.

    In conclusion, I just do not see the three tips gaining sufficient bullish momentum to exceed their entry points by the end of this week.
    Something dramatically would have to happen. This is always a possiblity of course but the odds are against it.

    Regards,

    Terry

  6. #6
    Senior Member Grae's Avatar
    For the short term daily outlook, the eur usd is at a minor support of 1.28336... I see a ceiling of maybe 1.30250 in two days...
    And I think silver will get to 35.000 in the next two days too... What do you think?

    Kind regards,
    Graham

  7. #7
    Master Member Bogdan G's Avatar
    I still believe that the EU will double top around 1.3160 and then drop, resuming the downtrend seen on the longer TFs.

  8. #8
    Specialist Member RCox's Avatar
    Apple, Should I Even Try?

    Apple
    Entry = below $640
    Call/Put = Call
    Expiration = End Of The Month

    Well, I’m going to give it one more try. Apple has retreated far more than I expected but has reached long term support zone at $650. Concerns over iPhone 5 issues may continue to create volatility but this level looks like a good starting point for a rally based on the fourth quarter and Christmas Season expectations.

    _____________________________

    Long term, I am not so bullish on APPLE when compared a large section of the market. I think it has just risen too far, too fast. But looking at the shorter term perspectives, I agree that CALLS can be taken at these levels, given that we are seeing a bounce out of the 625 area. But these should be limited to daily CALLS (or even hourly) as I think we will be seeing some downside stops run before the end of the year, pushing prices lower.

  9. #9
    Specialist Member RCox's Avatar
    China Downgrade Not Unexpected

    Shang Hai Composite
    Entry = Below 2100
    Call/Put = Call
    Expiration = End Of The Month

    China trading resumes following the country’s long holiday with a major downgrade of Chinese GDP expectations. The good news is that the downgrade is not unexpected and is only catching up with what we already know of the situation. China is likely at a short term bottom, one that will be aided by US market strength.
    __________________________

    The point about the US markets guiding activity in Chinese stocks makes sense, and I do think that we will see some post-holiday bounce in the Shanghai Index but the main question going forward will be the extent to which US equities can continue supporting global markets given the elevated levels in the S&P. It will not take much to positively surprise markets this earnings season but I am expecting any bounces to be limited and I am looking for rallies into the low 2200s to start putting on daily PUTS.

  10. #10
    Rookie Member
    Apple is going to get back on their feet from the way i see things going now in the market but i am worried about about Mc donald's because they are really getting fried now. China is really killing businesses now. Some i still think this condition is really helping my trading now.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
3