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  1. #1
    Administrator Martin Kay's Avatar

    Tip from the Geek – Top 7 Binary Options Trading Tips List 24-29/9/2012 !!!

    Hi guys! Michael's weekly tips finally arrived! Let the discussion begin!

    The latest "Tip from the Geek" can be found here.

    Quote Originally Posted by Michael Hodges
    Easy to understand Binary Options Trading Advices. Try them Yourself!


    Greece Needs More Money, Really?

    The Eurozone crisis is back in the spotlight this week. The seemingly endless dance around whether or not Greece, Spain and Italy will need more money continues. This weekend a leak sparked speculation on Greece’s needs and what will happen. The Greek Ministry Of Finance denied the rumors but failed to calm market fears.


    1. The European markets drop on fear


    FTSE 100
    Call/Put = Call
    Entry = below 5850
    Expiration = End of the month
    My Trading Recommendation in 50 Words
    Bailout talks have yet to depress the trend in European stocks. The fact that talks are still on-going and progressing is enough to keep the FTSE at this level. If talks break-down then it will be time to worry. There is not expected to be any more info concerning Greece until next week so I don’t expect anymore downside on the latest news development. Last weeks trade idea stands with an even lower entry point.


    2. Spain stands strong


    IBEX
    Call/Put = Call
    Entry = below 8150
    Expiration = end of the month
    My Trading Recommendation in 50 Words
    The Spanish markets are still holding strong. The Spanish governments stance that they do not need help at this time and the ECB’s bond buying support have done the job, at least for now. The Greece news this week only helped get us back to a good entry level.


    3. The US markets lead the world higher


    S&P 500
    Call/Put = Call
    Entry = below 1455
    Expiration = end of the month
    My Trading Recommendation in 50 Words
    The US markets are trading, and have been for over a week, above a new support level. The charts look good for a full 100% retracement of the 2008 bear market which will take the S&P another 100 points higher. Once again the Greek news has provided another opportunity to get into this trade.


    4. Techs, as volatile as ever


    Nasdaq
    Call/Put = Call
    Entry = below 3160
    Expiration = end of the month
    My Trading Recommendation in 50 Words
    The tech stocks have been volatile lately as new growth projections shake up the sector. The Nasdaq has been moving up in spite of all this on the back of Apple mania and will continue up with the rest of the US markets.


    5. China, does it matter any more?


    Shang Hai Composite
    Call/Put = Call
    Entry = below 2050
    Expiration = end of the month
    My Trading Recommendation in 50 Words
    The Chinese economy is still slowing and the Chinese stock markets are reaching new lows. The contrarian in me thinks that the Shang Hai Composite is overextended on fear. Global relief, though shadowed by Greece inspired fear, will help this index find a bottom in the short term at least.


    6. Apple, the darling of the market


    Apple
    Call/Put = Call
    Entry = below $695
    Expiration = end of the month
    My Trading Recommendation in 50 Words
    Apple crossed the $700 line, held on for a day or two and then came right back down to $690. This stock has the attention and interest of the markets so I see little chance of any significant downside. The battle of $700 is not yet played out either. Volatility if not valuation will take this stock back up over $700 by the end of the month.


    7. Euro softens against the dollar


    Eur/USD
    Call/Put
    Entry = below 1.29450
    Expiration = End of Month
    My Trading Recommendation in 50 Words
    The Euro has been softening against the dollar over the last week. The short term weakness is likely profit taking, the Euro has been trending upward for over two months and was in need of correction. Now that it has happened there is room for the currency to move up again. The support of the ECB will out weigh any short-term concerns stemming from the individual Eurozone nations.


  2. #2
    Master Member Bogdan G's Avatar

    Be prepared for every outcome !!!

    Agree with The Geek over the fact that the Euro has been strengthening against the US Dollar and probably the retracement seen in the last days is just profit taking but...let's not forget about the instability of the Eurozone and the fact that we are still in a downtrend on the higher timeframes (check out the Weekly TF). Yup, i know some of you will disagree, but I still consider this is a downtrend. There are many reasons why the Euro can come crashing down like a wingless airplane. I'm not saying down is the way to go but it is definitely a possibility, especially if we will see a double top forming at the 1.3170 resistance. If that is the case, we will also have resistance from the trend line connecting the 4th of May 2011 top with the one formed in the 29th of august of the same year. If I would see some bearish divergence forming in that zone and RSI (one of my favorite indicators) signaling Overbought again (the Divergence formed by two Overbought tops is stronger than one developed in the middle of the RSI range), then my money guys is on the Put, no question about it. If you want to know more about the powerful tool that is Divergence (and I definitely recommend you to add this tool to your trading), check out this article http://www.binaryoptionsthatsuck.com...inuation-tool/
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails eu3.jpg  
    Last edited by Bogdan G; 09-25-2012 at 12:38 PM.
    Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Albert Einstein (attributed)

  3. #3
    Master Member Bogdan G's Avatar
    Btw guys, great to have the Forum finally available. Trading can be a lonely job sometimes
    Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Albert Einstein (attributed)

  4. #4
    Specialist Member TAllen1429's Avatar
    Comments on Tips 1 to 5

    FTSE, IBEX, S&P500, NASDAQ, Shang Hi Composite

    Riskier assets, such as stocks, are predicted to strengthen significantly over the coming months. This is because the Fed and ECB stimulus measures have been designed to entice investors to move from safe-haven assets, such as US Treasuries and German Bonds, into other more audacious ones, such as real estate and stocks. Such actions will help fund new industrial projects which will bolster economic growth and employment.

    As such, these concepts lend support to the above tips. However there are headwinds.

    The consistent posting of worse-than-expected global economic news exerts bearish pressure on the markets. Again, yesterday was an example of this with the release of disappointing German business sentiment figures.

    In addition, the Fed and ECB stimulus plans may take some time to kick-in. For instance, the ECB bond-buying package can only begin purchasing the debt of Eurozone members, such as Spain, if they submit formal requests for bailout aid.

    However, the Spanish government is desperately trying to avoid taking such a step in order not to subject its populace to harsh austerity measures. The Spanish government is due to publish its 2013 draft budget plan later this week which could provide the foundation for Spain to request international aid. However, many analysts are advising that an official request may be postponed until after an important regional election is held on the 21st October.

    In addition, the impacts of the Fed stimulus package may also take some time to convert into tangible results that can boost the markets. If so, investors could well seek the sanctuary of safe-haven assets, such as US Treasuries and German Bonds, until the stimulus packages of the Fed and ECB begin to take effect.

    Consequently, the stock markets are vulnerable to bearish corrections in the short-term. As such, a wise policy may be to wait before activating these tips until more clarity is produced concerning the above issues.

    Tip 6 – Apple

    Over the long-term, Apple definitely has potential to climb higher because its shares will receive boosts from the ECB and Fed stimulus packages and the launch of the new iPad5.
    However, there are short-term problems. For instance, the shares of Apple dropped on Monday because the sales of the iPad5 missed market expectations over last weekend. There are also serious supply issues emerging for the iPad5 as a result of its massive demand.

    Until Apple produces evidence that it is on top of these problems, then its shares could just consolidate or even undergo a mild correction. In addition, the problems of the stimulus packages as stated above are still evident.

    Again, the best policy may be to wait until proof is provided about these Apple concerns.

    Tip 7 – EURUSD

    This pair does look set to climb in value over the coming months because the EURO will benefit from the ECB stimulus measures boosting the economy of the currency bloc. In addition, the USD will be devalued by Fed actions.

    However, in the shorter-term the Euro will track the performance of the stock markets, such as those listed above. Consequently, the best policy may be to wait until the stimulus packages of the ECB and the Fed are clearly activated and taking effect.

  5. #5
    Specialist Member RCox's Avatar
    1. The European markets drop on fear FTSE 100 Call/Put = Call Entry = below 5850 Expiration = End of the month

    I agree that we have found the bottom in European equity markets, based mostly on the fact that analysts trying to grab headlines are finding it much more difficult to make a convincing argument that we will see an unraveling of the EMU. I am in favor of short term CALLS in the broad stock indices but medium term, I think we are looking at another leg lower as a more significant correction is needed. In favor of intraday CALLS in the FTSE around the 5730 area.

    2. Spain stands strong IBEX Call/Put = Call Entry = below 8150 Expiration = end of the month

    The IBEX looks like a less predictable trade, with wide potential for volatility in both directions. I would rather stick with trades in the DAX or CAC as they will likely follow the same trajectory but in a less choppy fashion. I'd rather stay on the sidelines with this one until the fundamental picture is more clear.

    The US markets lead the world higher S&P 500 Call/Put = Call Entry = below 1455 Expiration = end of the month

    I'm looking at the S&P from a contrarian perspective at this stage, with little scope for sustainable long term rallies from these levels. I am expecting a modest downward correction (or at least mostly sideways trading) for the rest of the year. Shorter term, I will be taking daily PUTS in the S&P on any approach of the 1485 level.

    4. Techs, as volatile as ever Nasdaq Call/Put = Call Entry = below 3160 Expiration = end of the month

    I am expecting the NASDAQ to be the strongest of the 3 US markets, which makes these latest declines a good buying opportunity. Dips below the 3100 are acceptable entry points for weekly CALL options.

    5. China, does it matter any more?

    With volatile indexes like the shanghai composite, I tend to use only long term approaches, as short term predictability falls through the floor. Outlook into the end of the year, however, is positive, so one month CALLS are acceptable at current levels.

    6. Apple, the darling of the market

    Longer term,I am bearish on APPLE as I think there will need to be a large downside correction at some stage but I think shorter term, these declines are overdone and we can start looking for buying opportunities. So if we can see the stock drop by another $10, CALLS become acceptable.

    7. Euro softens against the dollar

    There is little reason to believe that we will see any activity that approaches the lows of the year, so the longer term outlook is clearly bullish for the EUR/USD. Shorter term, however, I would like to see more of a downside retracement (at least into the 1.27 area) before I start thinking about bullish CALLS again. The Euro should be one of the easier trades into the end of this year.

  6. #6
    Specialist Member TAllen1429's Avatar
    Why are stocks and the Euro still declining despite the instigation of aggressive stimulus plans by both the ECB and the Fed?[/B]

    Comments on Tips 1 to 5

    FTSE, IBEX, S&P500, NASDAQ, Shang Hi Composite

    For any chance that these tips can produce winners by the end of this month, which is Sunday, investors need catalysts that will justify them pushing the stock markets higher. Two major ones exist presently which are the new monetary easing policies of the Fed and the ECB.

    This is because the Fed and ECB stimulus plans have been specifically constructed to tempt investors to transfer their holdings from safe-haven assets, such as the US dollar and US Treasuries, into other riskier investments, such as stocks and real estate. Such actions are deemed desirable by the two central banks because they will help finance new business ventures that are capable of boosting economic growth and employment.

    However, since the implementation of new stimulus measures by the US Federal Reserve about two weeks ago, the markets have just traded quietly epitomized by the S&P500 struggling to achieve daily movements in excess of 0.5%.

    This means that unless this trend reverses, the tips will fail to produce in-the-money results by the end of this month. So what is going on?

    The primary reason for this lackluster trading is that there have been two dominating influences competing for the control of the markets over the last fortnight. Ambitious quantitative easing has primarily provided bullish pressure whilst the weakening global economy has generated bearish influences. The latter has secured the upper hand during the last two weeks because the new ECB and FED stimulus plans have simply not fully kick-in yet. As such, riskier assets, such as the Euro and stocks, have been creeping lower on a daily basis during this time.

    The ECB monetary easing policy, which is still inactive, can only start buying the debt of harassed Eurozone nations, such as Spain, if those countries submit formal applications for a financial bailout. However, the Spain is frantically trying to avoid this option as it does not want to enforce unpopular austerity measures onto its citizens. The government is very nervous about a severe public reaction as typified by the violent riots and demonstrations that have happened in Madrid in the last couple of days.

    Spanish citizens are remonstrating about suffering additional hardships for a crisis not of their making but which resulted from the reckless actions of greedy Wall St. bankers. In addition, as the Fed stimulus package may also need some time before it starts to generate any positive results, the flagging global economy will most likely be the dominant force during the interim.

    As such, today is pivotal if these five tips have any hope of producing winners. This is because the Spanish government is due to publish its 2013 draft budget which could provide the foundation for Spain to request international aid. However, there are many headwinds that could convince the Spanish government to hold fire as long as possible. For instance, an official request may be postponed until an important regional election is held on the 21st October. In addition, civil unrest as explained above is another major obstacle. The burning question is just how bad is Spain’s financial situation? We should obtain much deeper insights today about this critical question.

    Without doubt, the stocks markets will climb substantially as soon as the aggressive and ambitious plans of the ECB and Fed are fully activated and begin to take effect. However, timing is the key consideration.
    Whereas, the end of this month does not look promising, the end of October is a different proposition entirely. So, keep a good eye open today about the release of the Spanish 2013 draft budget as this event is now central.

    Tip 6 – Apple

    Shares of this company have fallen significantly this week as they have undergone a bearish correction. Apple has encountered supply problems since last Friday because of the enormous demand for its new iPad5. Only 5 million of these devices were sold over last weekend compared to market expectations of 8 million which caused shares to plunge earlier this week.

    However, once Apple finds a firm support it will almost certainly rebound higher to record new historic highs. Timing is the pertinent consideration. Again, the end of this month may not provide enough time for this company to correct its iPad5 issues.

    Tip 7 – EURUSD

    As the Euro is classified as a risky asset similar to stocks, the single currency is and will react to the new stimulus plans in exactly the same way as described above for the Tips 1 to 5.

  7. #7
    Master Member Bogdan G's Avatar
    So none of you guys believe in a double top at 1.3170 and then a drop scenario for the EUR/USD pair?

  8. #8
    Specialist Member TAllen1429's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Bogdan G View Post
    So none of you guys believe in a double top at 1.3170 and then a drop scenario for the EUR/USD pair?
    Always worth keeping close tabs on generatation of such technical formations. The first daily peak of 1.3170 occurred about the time the Fed announced its new stimulus measures.

    The subsequent drop resulted for the reasons I listed in my two previous posts. At the moment, in my opinion the impacts of the ECB and FED aggressive stimulus packages will be
    the main drivers of the EURUSD over the coming months. As such, if a second distintive daily top is generated at 1.3170 during this time and it can be correlated and justified by
    stimulus developments, then this would be of significance and could well produce the drop you described.

    however, good news from Spain yesterday is very bullish for stocks and the Euro.

  9. #9
    Master Member Bogdan G's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by TAllen1429 View Post
    Always worth keeping close tabs on generatation of such technical formations. The first daily peak of 1.3170 occurred about the time the Fed announced its new stimulus measures.

    The subsequent drop resulted for the reasons I listed in my two previous posts. At the moment, in my opinion the impacts of the ECB and FED aggressive stimulus packages will be
    the main drivers of the EURUSD over the coming months. As such, if a second distintive daily top is generated at 1.3170 during this time and it can be correlated and justified by
    stimulus developments, then this would be of significance and could well produce the drop you described.

    however, good news from Spain yesterday is very bullish for stocks and the Euro.
    Yeah, man, I agree that a potential double top should be backed up by some fundamentals, but sometimes i really don't get them (the fundamentals that is). A rumor can start a big move and sometimes some big news has little impact on the markets. Euro has no power...but on the other hand, its Nemesis, the US Dollar should drink a Red Bull as well.
    All the best

  10. #10
    Specialist Member TAllen1429's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Bogdan G View Post
    Yeah, man, I agree that a potential double top should be backed up by some fundamentals, but sometimes i really don't get them (the fundamentals that is). A rumor can start a big move and sometimes some big news has little impact on the markets. Euro has no power...but on the other hand, its Nemesis, the US Dollar should drink a Red Bull as well.
    All the best
    Succinctly summarizes the complexities of trading.

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